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Saturday, September 29, 2012

Chaikin Oscillator

Chaikin's oscillator is the difference of moving averages of Accumulation/Distribution.
"The concept of this oscillator is based on three main theses. First: if a share or an index is higher when it closes than it was during the day (you can calculate the average value as [max+min]/2), it means that it was a day of accumulation. The closer the closing index of a share or an index gets to the maximum, the more active the accumulation is. Vice versa, if a share's closing price is lower than the average level of the day, it means that distribution took place. The closer to the minimum the share gets, the more active is the distribution.
Second: stable price growth is accompanied by increase in trade volume and strong accumulation of the volume. As the volume is like fuel that feeds market growth, the lag of volume along with the growth of prices shows that there isn't enough fuel to continue the rise.
Vice versa, a slump in prices is usually accompanied by low amount and ends up in panic liquidation of positions by institutional investors. Therefore, first of all we see a growth of volume, then a slump in prices accompanied by reduced volume and finally, when the market is close to foundation, some accumulation takes place.
Third: with a Chaikin's oscillator you can trace back the volume of money resources coming in to the market and leaving it. Comparing the dynamics of volume and prices allows finding out peaks and foundations of the market, both short- and medium-term.
As there are no correct methods of technical analysis, I would recommend you using this oscillator along with other technical indicators. The reliability of short-term and medium-term trade signals will be higher if you use a Chaikin's oscillator together with, for example, Envelopes based on a 21-day moving average and some oscillator of outbidding/resale.
The most important signal arises when the prices reach a maximum or a minimum level (especially on the level of outbidding/resale), but the Chaikin's oscillator can't overcome its previous extremum and so it turns around.
  • Signals moving in the direction of the medium-term trend are more reliable than those moving against it.
  • The fact that an oscillator confirms a new maximum or minimum doesn't mean that the prices will move on in that direction. I regard this event as unimportant.
Another way of using Chaikin's oscillator implies the following: a change in its direction is a signal for purchase or a sale, but only if it coincides with the price trend direction. For example, if a share is on the rise and its price is higher than a 90-day moving average, then an up-turn of the oscillator curve in the area of negative values can be regarded as a signal for purchase (but the share price must be higher than a 90-day moving average - not less.)
A down-turn of the oscillator curve in the area of positive values (above zero) can be regarded as a signal for sale, but the share price must be lower than the 90-day moving average of closing prices."
Mark Chaikin

Calculations:

To calculate the Chaikin's oscillator, you must subtract a 10-period exponential moving average of Accumulation/Distribution indicator from a 3-period exponential moving average of the same indicator.

CHO = EMA (A/D, 3) — EMA (A/D, 10)

Where:
EMA — exponential moving average;
A/D — Accumulation/Distribution indicator.

Average True Range Technical Indicator (ATR)

Average True Range Technical Indicator (ATR) is an indicator that shows volatility of the market. It was introduced by Welles Wilder in his book "New concepts in technical trading systems". This indicator has been used as a component of numerous other indicators and trading systems ever since.
Average True Range can often reach a high value at the bottom of the market after a sheer fall in prices occasioned by panic selling. Low values of the indicator are typical for the periods of sideways movement of long duration which happen at the top of the market and during consolidation. Average True Range can be interpreted according to the same principles as other volatility indicators. The principle of forecasting based on this indicator can be worded the following way: the higher the value of the indicator, the higher the probability of a trend change; the lower the indicator’s value, the weaker the trend’s movement is.

Calculation:

True Range is the greatest of the following three values:
  • difference between the current maximum and minimum (high and low);
  • difference between the previous closing price and the current maximum;
  • difference between the previous closing price and the current minimum.
The indicator of Average True Range is a moving average of values of the true range.

Friday, September 28, 2012

"Most Profitable Month of Trading EVER!"



ART OF TRADING Members Feedback! 




Stewie and everyone in chat: Thank you for helping to make this my most profitable month of trading EVER!

Rudy (ART OF TRADING member for over 6 months)


 Hey stew,
I am stockhead in the chat.  I had never used 'stochastic' before the video you e-mailed us.  I've had the best two weeks of my career and have been trading for five years.   
Thanks for pointing out something new!
I hope I have found a new home in your chatroom.  Thanks for everything!
Take care.
StockHead (ART OF TRADING member for one month)


Hi, Stewie....

This is my first week in your chat room and have to tell you I have thoroughly enjoyed it.... your emails and alerts are great and there's a very positive atmosphere that is not found in all rooms... Thanks for everything and I look forward to a long membership. 

Hector (New member still on 14 day FREE TRIAL) 



Hey Stewie,

I use the stewiebot and have had a $2000 plus week! Thank you for running a great service!!
Sent from my iPhone
Amar (Art Of TRADNG member for 3 months)


Thanks Stewie!  Got in TWM at $28.14  . Sold whole position @ $28.77.  TYP : Take Your Profit!!  
Great call my man!!

Kevin P. (ART OF TRADING member for only 3 weeks!)


Hey Boss,

SYMC - Followed your trade alerts to the penny [in at $19.14 and out at $19.42: sold for good gains]

LEN - The most profitable trade of the week, bought on your alert @ $34.24 and held the full position, stopped out on friday afternoon @ $36.48  : sold for a $2.24 profit!

I am continously learning and feel that your service is of great value for me, many thanks for your time, effort and willingness to share.

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(GVGordo)




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